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A 50-basis-point (bps) rise in the federal funds rate, the second increase in a row, is in line with expectations in light of continuing inflation, global challenges, and the macroeconomic environment. “Global geopolitical tensions have contributed to the long-term rise in inflation, which reached 7.8% in April 2022. As inflation rises, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has taken severe action by raising interest rates and gradually withdrawing liquidity.
Mortgage rates are predicted to rise due to the policy rate, which is expected to impact homebuyers’ sentiment negatively. As a result, a surge in house loan interest rates is unlikely to influence monthly payments significantly. Banks and housing finance providers have passed forward only a portion of the prior policy rate hike. This means that even if the number of people looking to buy a home may be shrinking, affordability and the buying momentum are predicted to remain largely intact despite interest rates remaining at decadal lows.
With global inflation at an all-time high and monetary tightening measures being implemented by central banks worldwide, the RBI’s decision to raise the repo rate to 4.9% was widely expected. As a result of this bold step, we anticipate that it will significantly reduce inflation over time.”
A Co-Founder said, “The further increase in the repo rate to 4.9 per cent to combat inflation will attract massive investments into the real estate business. Fixed-income products like FDs and government bonds, which are losing ground to inflation, will now be shunned by savvy investors. Investing in higher-yielding assets like commercial real estate is a wise choice at this point. Due to the unexpected rise in interest rates, the rental yields of the retail real estate sector would rise, making it a significant wealth-creation vehicle for many investors. Real estate is benefiting from the rise in interest rates.
A Director of Research said, 50 basis points have raised the repo rate by the Reserve Bank of India, which is already being discounted by the market. It is becoming challenging to build the economy due to the many international conflicts. Most industries are already feeling the pinch from rising raw material and fuel costs, so increasing rates will only worsen matters. Since the Federal Reserve is also raising interest rates, there is a good chance that the debt and bond markets and the stock market may suffer some outflows shortly. The rate hike will impact the auto, real estate, banking, and infrastructure industries, which all rely heavily on loan financing. Consumer goods, insurance, power, and utility industries provide a buffer against rising interest rates. An expert said, As expected, the RBI, has increased the repo rate by 50 basis points. India’s regulatory agencies had to tighten their grip on the economy’s liquidity flow in order to combat inflation. Inflation has been above the RBI’s 6 per cent safe zone for a few months. An otherwise booming Indian economy may suffer if inflationary pressure is not reined in. Despite the recent increase in home loan rates, an unstable economy hurts the real estate sector.
The economy must continue to grow in a stable, inclusive, and steady manner for the industry to function optimally. RBI has raised the repo rate by 40 bps to 4.9 per cent, and the inflation forecast for this fiscal is 6.7 per cent. It will continue above the 2-6 per cent tolerance band for three-quarters of this fiscal. However, RBI still expects the economy to develop at 7.2%. This means that inflation will be reined in, and monetary circumstances will be returned to a more normal state as the SDF and MSF have been raised from 4.65 per cent and 5.15 per cent, respectively. As the repo rate rises, banks’ lending costs will increase, and retail loans will be affected directly. According to an expert, Adding 50 basis points to the overall repo rate is a positive step taken by the apex body. As a result, inflation will be reined in, and the pace of economic expansion will be more gradual. The real estate market, which is now doing well despite rising inflation, may suffer if that trend continues. The cost of raw materials is already increasing. If inflation continues unchecked, it will cause significant increases in input costs for the construction industry. If this happens, they’ll have no choice but to pass the cost on to potential homebuyers. Government action is needed to counteract the rising prices of basic commodities like cement, bricks, and steel. The industry will feel the effects of this as well. A Founder and CEO said that lowering the repo rate will have a calming effect on the economy, help keep inflation under control and pave the way for longer-term, more steady growth.
There are a lot of factors that need to be taken into consideration when it comes to retail sales success in India. Inflation had risen above the safe 6-per cent threshold in recent months, necessitating such a move. Low-interest policies had to be replaced with a more comprehensive growth model. Meanwhile, retail sales in India will continue to be driven by a strong general economy, even though personal household finances are becoming more expensive. E-commerce and online shopping are flourishing, and malls and shopping centres are reopening. This is encouraging news for the retail sector as a whole. The current fiscal year is the long-awaited one for the real estate sector.
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